Oregon State vs Arizona 9/29/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon State winning 43% of simulations, and Arizona 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon State commits fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Arizona wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sean Mannion is averaging 298 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Matt Scott is averaging 324 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 80%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARI -3

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